If Caley Thistle keep Hughes, I can see them going down. Their success has been entirely built upon Butcher's team, and the more that that team is dismantled, the more it becomes obvious that he's incapable of replacing the players properly. They've already lost a couple of players on pre-contracts to Dundee, and on track record, they'll not replace them adequately.
Hamilton are shocking. Canning is the worst manager in the league. I'll be astounded if they survive next season, they've been saved this year by Killie and United being absolute shambles.
Assuming Hibs come up, they'll probably do reasonably, they have a good team, but Falkirk or Raith, or even Killie if they manage to stay up miraculously, will probably struggle a bit.
Even St Johnstone are capable of being right down there, they had a shocking run for a long time this year, if they do that again at the start of next season then they might struggle.
I'm not saying we definitely won't be down there next year, we might well be, but I have faith in Archie to get it right and keep us safe next year.